TY  - BOOK
AU  - Kagan,Yan Y.
TI  - Earthquakes: : models, statistics, testable forecasts
T2  - Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown
SN  - 9781118637920
U1  - 551.220112 
PY  - 2014///
CY  - Chichester, West Sussex
PB  - John Wiley & Sons
KW  - Earthquake prediction
KW  - Earthquake hazard analysis
N1  - Includes bibliographical references (page 260-279) and index; Part I. Models; 1. Motivation : earthquakes science challenges; 2. Seismological background; 3. Stochastic processes and earthquake occurrence models; Part II. Statistics; 4. Statistical distributions of earthquake numbers : consequence of branching process; 5. Earthquake size distribution; 6. Temporal earthquake distribution; 7. Earthquake location distribution; 8. Focal mechanism orientation and source complexity; Part III. Testable forecasts; 9. Global earthquake patterns; 10. Long- and short-term earthquake forecasting; 11. Testing long-term earthquake forecasts : likelihood methods and error diagrams; 12. Future prospects and problems
ER  -