Kagan, Yan Y.

Earthquakes : models, statistics, testable forecasts / Yan Y. Kagan - xviii, 283 pages : color illustrations, color maps - Statistical physics of fracture and breakdown .

Includes bibliographical references (page 260-279) and index.

Part I. Models 1. Motivation : earthquakes science challenges 2. Seismological background 3. Stochastic processes and earthquake occurrence models Part II. Statistics 4. Statistical distributions of earthquake numbers : consequence of branching process 5. Earthquake size distribution 6. Temporal earthquake distribution 7. Earthquake location distribution 8. Focal mechanism orientation and source complexity Part III. Testable forecasts 9. Global earthquake patterns 10. Long- and short-term earthquake forecasting 11. Testing long-term earthquake forecasts : likelihood methods and error diagrams 12. Future prospects and problems

9781118637920


Earthquake prediction
Earthquake hazard analysis

551.220112